Ghana forecasts hotter dry season through April 2027
By the AFREEQUE newsroom, based on 3News
Illustrative image · The Chongaiman Ace · Pexels · Licence PexelsGhana’s Meteorological Agency is forecasting a hotter and drier dry season, with increased risks of bushfires, water stress and dust. Heat is expected to peak between February and April 2027, especially in the north, while rainfall will remain uncertain, according to the Ghanaian agency.
The Ghana Meteorological Agency (GMet) is forecasting a hotter and drier dry season across much of the country from November 2026 to April 2027, with heat stress peaking between February and April, especially in the north. It attributes this outlook to an extremely strong and still developing El Niño event, according to its advisory published on 30 October.
GMet estimates the probability of the event reaching strong intensity between November and January at around 96%, drawing on the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Centre. The agency is warning of bushfires, water stress and dust, while also reporting that locally intense rainfall and possible flooding could occur despite seasonal rainfall being below normal.
Existing reserves in Lake Volta are expected to largely determine electricity generation during the dry season. According to GMet, El Niño’s impact on hydropower will be felt mainly during the 2027 inflow season, which will influence electricity generation in 2028.





