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Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula by two points in Quaest poll

By , based on La Nouvelle Tribune

Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula by two points in Quaest pollAgência Senado · CC BY (attribution requise)

A poll by the Quaest institute puts senator Flávio Bolsonaro on 51% of valid votes, against 49% for president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, on the eve of the second round of Brazil’s presidential election. Conducted on 23 and 24 October among 3,702 voters, the survey also reports a fall in Bolsonaro’s rejection rate, according to Quaest.

On the eve of the second round of Brazil’s presidential election, Liberal Party senator Flávio Bolsonaro has 51% of valid votes, against 49% for president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, according to a poll by the Quaest institute published on Saturday 24 October by La Nouvelle Tribune. The two-point gap remains within the margin for a statistical tie, as the daily Estado de Minas notes.

Conducted on 23 and 24 October among 3,702 voters, the poll indicates that Flávio Bolsonaro’s rejection rate fell from 52% to 49%, while Lula’s remained stable at 47%. Quaest also found that 51% of respondents thought the senator would win, compared with 37% for the president.

The poll extends the slight lead already seen for Flávio Bolsonaro in previous surveys. The right-wing candidate is the son of former president Jair Bolsonaro. In the first round on 4 October, he won about 47% of the vote against 45% for Lula, while most polls had put the president ahead.

The latest poll comes after Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro ended their campaigns on 24 October. The two candidates had also toned down their final debate that day, according to our earlier article on the final debate of Brazil’s presidential election.

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