Morocco forecasts 90 mm of rain and flood risk
By the AFREEQUE newsroom, based on Maroc Diplomatique
Morocco’s national risk forecasting centre at the Interior Ministry has announced heavy rain from 11 to 14 November 2026, with 80 to 90 millimetres over 12 hours expected in Tetouan and Chefchaouen. Northern provinces, including Al Hoceima and Larache, are classified as facing medium risk, according to the same analysis note.
Northern provinces of Morocco are expected to experience the heaviest rainfall at the start of the rainy episode expected between noon on 11 November and midnight on 14 November. The analysis note from the National Risk Forecasting Centre, under the Natural Risks Management Directorate of the Interior Ministry, forecasts up to 80 to 90 millimetres over 12 hours in Tetouan and Chefchaouen, with peaks potentially reaching 25 millimetres per hour.
In Tangier-Assilah, M’diq-Fnideq, Tetouan, Fahs-Anjra, Larache, Chefchaouen, Ouezzane and Al Hoceima, the risk level is classified as medium. Totals could reach 70 to 80 millimetres in Al Hoceima and Larache, compared with 40 to 50 millimetres in Ouezzane, according to the National Risk Forecasting Centre.
The concentration of rainfall over short periods could encourage runoff, rapid rises in water levels and flooding in low-lying areas, particularly in urban areas and near waterways. In the Oriental region, Nador, Driouch and Guercif are classified as facing low risk, with rainfall generally ranging from 5 to 20 millimetres, according to the same note.
The forecast comes after classes were suspended in rural schools in Tetouan on 10 November due to bad weather. It also follows Morocco’s placement on orange alert for rain and winds of up to 100 km/h on 11 November, according to the orange alert for rain and winds.
